Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Banks raise $56 billion...lightbulb anyone?

According to a recent New York Times article, the United States' largest banks, the same banks that a month ago had no money, have raised an estimated $56 billion over the past two weeks, as instructed by the government.
This all resulted from the government's recent "Stress Test", an evaluation that rates a bank's financial condition and whether or not they need to take action to stay afloat. Basically, it measures the amount of bad debt and unpaid loans that banks have and cannot collect from, followed by whether they have the current cash/capital to deal with those losses, and if they don't (and thus fail the Stress Test), the government calculates a certain amount these banks have to raise in order to be able to cope with their losses.

My question is, how could it possibly have been this easy for the 10 banks who failed the Stress Test to raise as much money as they did and suddenly be prepared for another financial
crisis? **

All these banks did was, in simple terms, sell a ton of stocks to the public, forking over certain percentages of their company ownership to investors.
We're all taught in basic business courses that any business, banks or otherwise, need a certain amount of cash/capital within the system at all times in case of emergencies (the rest can be invested in stocks, equipment, or other productive assets).

How on earth could it not have dawned on these banks, while the sub-prime mortgage crisis took flight two years ago, that they should probably buckle down, swallow their pride and prepare for the worst by selling so all this stock back then?

Obviously, trust is an issue here and probably the reason we've arrived to the state we are in right now. If I am desperately trying to sell my house and am struggling to do so, I'm not about to fork over my savings back into stocks.
My only sticking point is, with all the bailouts we've had, with all the major companies that in the past two years have invested hundreds of millions in the stock market to encourage the public to do the same, why does this only work now? Because the government said so? I'm not buying it.

I feel a lot more could have been done way earlier, but credit to the Obama administration and the Treasury Department (not being politically biased here, just realistic) for finally getting something done, hopefully the Better Times (because they are by no means good) keep rolling.


** It's worth noting that of the $56 billion raised, only $48 billion was raised by banks who failed the Stress Test. The other $8 billion was raised by nine other banks voluntarily as a strategic move.

Sunday, May 17, 2009

Let a Stranger Take You Home?

Some of you may not have seen the new (and surprisingly catchy) Heineken commercial that's been airing for the past few weeks: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2jqZTJk30qg.

The ad has been raising lots of questions marks as to the message it is conveying: "Let a stranger take you home". In my view, the original intended message here is the same politically correct message that every liquor company feels obliged to promote: don't drink and drive [by letting a stranger drive you home]. But aren't we missing the bigger picture here? Weren't we always trained to not even take candy from strangers as little kids, let alone hop in their car and let them drive us home?

Obviously, I'm exaggerating the severity of this message, but if you're Heineken, how on earth do you let that air? The commercial itself is so well produced, but it desperately needs an applicable punch-line that doesn't carry any unintentional criminalistic insinuations. I'm not saying their current slogan is offensive, it just makes them seem a bit ridiculous and difficult to take seriously.
If one were to give Heineken the [unlikely] benefit of the doubt, however, you could argue that they knew their message would be controversial but that it would get enough people discussing the ad that they'd receive lots of free publicity. Probably not the case, however, as I haven't seen a single news station discussing the commercial. Heineken is such a well-respected brand, however, that I'm sure they won't suffer any serious consequences for their "mis-messaging".

The point here is, I love this commercial. I love the song, I love the way its filmed, and the old jolly cab driver seals the deal for everyone, especially if you've been in that situation before. And because I love it so much, I need to see it receive its proper justice: a good punch-line that actually pertains to what the commercial is trying to say without creating any obvious unintentional double meanings.

Any suggestions?